It's been a few days since we posted something over here. It's all been a little bit hectic, but never the less, lets jump right back in!.
I am often asked what means and methodology I use for making selections and what factors
ultimately lead us to a choosing whether to bet or not.Everyone has their own ideas. Many man, many methods. But over the coming articles, I will take you through the main factors that I consider a solid base for the selection process, as well as the base that we use at Premier Information.
Today, I will take a look at Form and Fitness.
Form is a major consideration in making a selection. Form is a factual record of
performance. A record of exactly what has previously been achieved. It is the sole means
of reliably assessing and comparing ability. The higher the grade of race, the more reliable
form tends to be. Whilst never forgetting we are dealing with flesh and blood, high class
horses running in high class events tend to run reliably to form. Lower class racing is not
considered quite so reliable. Everyone interprets form in their own way. Form is a factor
which can never be underestimated. Ultimately though, how that form is interpreted is
down to the individual.
Fitness is also an important factor. Fitness can influence form. Is a horse at peak fitness?
When did it last run? Is it likely to improve and strip fitter for its last run? In years gone
by, one would be very wary of a horse making its seasonal debut. Many horses need to
“have a run” in order to get them properly fit. These days, modern training methods are
so well honed that good trainers can have the horse fit and ready to go even after a long lay
off. However, I generally like to see a horse run within two weeks of its last start. One can
assume that an animal running within two weeks of a race will be pretty fit.
If a horse is not fit it can invalidate the form.
Tuesday, April 23, 2013
Tuesday, April 16, 2013
Premier Information: Don't Forget The Classic's!
With
attention beginning to turn to the Flat season, I thought it was worth looking
at the five “Classic” races that we can look forward to later this season.
The five
Classics are the Blue Riband events and are a stern test of ability. Only the best horses compete in these events
and the prize money is huge. However,
they are also fiercely competitive races.
The 2000 and
1000 Guineas take place in Newmarket in the Spring and are over a distance of
one mile. The 2000gns is for colts and
the 1000gns for fillies. The Derby
(colts) and The Oaks (fillies) take place at Epsom in June over a distance of 1
½ miles. The St Leger
is open to both sexes and is run over 1 ¾ miles at Doncaster in September.
The challenge to finding the winner in these events is to select the very best from the best, a daunting task when the size of the field may be large and most of the runners have at least some sort of chance of winning! Added to which, every horse will be trained to peak fitness.
In our
favour, is the fact that top class horses tend to be reliable in reproducing
and holding their form. High class
horses tend to be consistent. We can
take much evidence into account. Their
previous form in trials, stable form, speed figures, dosage and general trends
and statistics. As with making any
selection, it is all about putting the pieces of the jigsaw together.
Myself and the rest of the staff at Premier Information do tend to get involved in these races and have a pretty good track record in them – particularly in the 2000gns and The Derby.
Fingers crossed we can find the winners in 2013!
Myself and the rest of the staff at Premier Information do tend to get involved in these races and have a pretty good track record in them – particularly in the 2000gns and The Derby.
Fingers crossed we can find the winners in 2013!
Sunday, April 14, 2013
Premier Information: Don't Miss Out On A Single Date!
Major Races Scheduled for April & May
With the flat season starting to settle in, we thought it may be a good idea to list the races of interest that are upcoming for the rest of this month and for the month of May.
APRIL
17
|
CERES ESTATES SILVER TROPHY STEEPLE CHASE (A HANDICAP)
|
CHELTENHAM
|
Chase
|
2
|
17
|
LANWADES STUD NELL GWYN STAKES
|
NEWMARKET
|
Flat
|
3
|
18
|
NOVAE BLOODSTOCK INSURANCE CRAVEN STAKES
|
NEWMARKET
|
Flat
|
3
|
18
|
WEATHERBYS EARL OF SEFTON STAKES
|
NEWMARKET
|
Flat
|
3
|
20
|
ARCADIA CONSULTING WILLIAM DICKIE & MARY ROBERTSON FUTURE CHAMPION
NOVICES STEEPLE CHASE
|
AYR
|
Chase
|
2
|
20
|
ISLE OF SKYE BLENDED WHISKY SCOTTISH CHAMPION HURDLE RACE (A LIMITED
HANDICAP)
|
AYR
|
Hurdle
|
2
|
20
|
CORAL SCOTTISH GRAND NATIONAL HANDICAP STEEPLE CHASE
|
AYR
|
Chase
|
3
|
20
|
AON GREENHAM STAKES
|
NEWBURY
|
Flat
|
3
|
20
|
DUBAI DUTY FREE STAKES (Registered as Fred Darling Stakes)
|
NEWBURY
|
Flat
|
3
|
20
|
DUBAI DUTY FREE FINEST SURPRISE STAKES (Registered as John Porter
Stakes)
|
NEWBURY
|
Flat
|
3
|
26
|
bet365 MILE
|
SANDOWN PARK
|
Flat
|
2
|
27
|
bet365 CLASSIC TRIAL
|
SANDOWN PARK
|
Flat
|
3
|
27
|
bet365.com CELEBRATION STEEPLE CHASE
|
SANDOWN PARK
|
Chase
|
2
|
27
|
bet365 GOLD CUP STEEPLE CHASE (HANDICAP)
|
SANDOWN PARK
|
Chase
|
3
|
27
|
bet365 GORDON RICHARDS STAKES
|
SANDOWN PARK
|
Flat
|
3
|
MAY
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)