Tuesday, May 14, 2013

Premier Information: Back On Form

A little bit short and sweet today, but this time I promise we'll have a double feature to make up for it! Especially because we're touching on a subject we've partly covered before. But never the less! It is an important factor that I think deserves a little bit of an extra mention.

FORM


Many people ask me about FORM. I think that many people looking at racing think there
is some magical way of identifying winners and that something “special” in the form book
gives the golden key to success. It is not so. Form is simple and there for everyone to see.

The principle of FORM is simple. When one horse beats another it is because it ran faster!
No excuses can hide that simple truth.  Should the two horses meet again under similar
conditions the outcome is likely to be the same.   Remember, while faster horses may run slower, slower horses cannot run faster.

However, should the two horses meet again, then conditions, distance and especially weight can make for a different outcome. If these factors are primarily no different, then the outcome is far more likely to remain the same as on the first occasion.   You need to look at the form objectively and then consider whether there are factors that may mean that this time the outcome could be different.

There is nothing magical about form study.  But objectivity is the key factor.

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